Polymarket Trader

Paoul1992

0x3991d10468617a369021fb8b9f85c60d4f873d0f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $410.78
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $20.3
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $26.37
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $12.52
Potential payout: $36.82
Potential profit: $24.3
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $11.77
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $31.34
Potential profit: $10.34
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $23.01
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.01

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 67.2%
Current value: $20.51
Potential payout: $30.52
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $22.33
Potential payout: $29.58
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $21.86
Potential payout: $28.77
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $23.41
Potential payout: $28.38
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $21.41
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $5.86
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $15.89
Potential payout: $26.26
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.13

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $21.38
Potential payout: $25.61
Potential profit: $4.23
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $12.88
Potential payout: $25.02
Potential profit: $12.13
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$3.13

No position

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $21.37
Potential payout: $24.71
Potential profit: $3.34
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $21.61
Potential payout: $24.42
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $21.14
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $22.86
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $20.85
Potential payout: $22.44
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $2.46
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $7.88
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 25% 26.7 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

No 19% 46.66 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?

No 64% 25.02 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 61% 26.26 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 60% 26.7 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 74% 28.38 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

No 45% 46.67 shares
Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 86.9% 24.17 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 88% 24.65 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

No 55.2% 36.82 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Over 80% 26.25 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

No 67% 31.34 shares