Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $87.84
- Potential payout
- $705.58
- Potential profit
- $617.74
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Polymarket Trader
0x39ac...5e32
0x39ac5cb2df8e99a339fb9b9d6c78e87ec55e5e32
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $886.83
- Realized PnL
- -$182.46
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $286.43
- Potential profit
- $245.19
- Multiplier
- 6.94x
- User PnL
- $26.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $150.81
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $147.13
- Potential payout
- $151.29
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $21.21
- Potential payout
- $141.41
- Potential profit
- $120.2
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.73
Yes position
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $140.11
- Potential profit
- $139.48
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.37
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $108.73
- Potential payout
- $108.73
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $94.12
- Potential payout
- $106.95
- Potential profit
- $12.83
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.65
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $94.76
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $44.08
- Potential payout
- $59.29
- Potential profit
- $15.21
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$10.92
No position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $50.44
- Potential payout
- $50.51
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $33.42
- Potential payout
- $42.57
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $33.88
- Potential profit
- $33.67
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $23.65
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $23.02
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $21.57
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.8%
- Current value
- $14.46
- Potential payout
- $21.34
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $13.63
- Potential payout
- $13.95
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $9.39
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will France win?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.85
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$170.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 5.8% 51.93 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 16% 25 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 14% 28.57 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 4.1% 48.78 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 94.9% 10.48 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 94.9% 1.05 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 14% 50 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 11% 108.55 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 39% 23.08 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 39.1% 23.02 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.5% 19.07 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 18.97 shares