No position
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $308.4
- Potential payout
- $411.2
- Potential profit
- $102.8
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Polymarket Trader
recif2000
0x39b0c8230e60734159b33cadc964aac5249416ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $754.8
- Realized PnL
- $108.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $175.92
- Potential payout
- $314.14
- Potential profit
- $138.22
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $25.92
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $60.52
- Potential payout
- $155.17
- Potential profit
- $94.66
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$39.48
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.29
- Potential profit
- $154.29
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.44
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.44
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.32
- Potential profit
- $118.32
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $105.09
- Potential payout
- $106.42
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.18
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $103.32
- Potential payout
- $103.63
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $3.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.85
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.93
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 92% 106.41 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.5% 103.63 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?No 47.7% 314.14 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 84.5% 118.32 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 63.3% 183.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 47% 256.62 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 54.5% 183.49 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 16% 125 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 97% 103.09 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 85% 333.33 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?No 97.2% 127.5 shares