No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $21.14K
- Potential payout
- $22.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $413.65
Polymarket Trader
yogapinnacle
@martenJe
0x39b0e53147e8d495d4eb138852772a7c72a207d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.47K
- Realized PnL
- $14.2K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$150
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $903.98
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.2
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $231
Yes position
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.44
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $171.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.49
No position
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.77
Yes position
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.6% 13,894.49 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.6% 20.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 33,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.9% 30,000 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes 25% 3,531.02 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 24% 245.32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.9% 18,632.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.9% 11,367.53 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 86% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 11.6% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 3,112.61 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.6% 245.68 shares