Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.74
- Potential profit
- $84.74
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Polymarket Trader
testingduringdev
0x39cab3872b624ceebcc37666f2b08f4609d17605
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.97
- Realized PnL
- $600.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
9z position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.87
- Potential profit
- $73.87
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.86
- Potential profit
- $63.86
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $44.56
- Multiplier
- 9.17x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $38.38
- Potential profit
- $36.83
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $27.32
- Potential payout
- $31.4
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.22
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $18.96
- Potential payout
- $19.18
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.76
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.01
- Potential profit
- $16.01
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.94
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $13.88
- Potential profit
- $13.32
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.96
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $9.82
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.39
Gen.G position
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.64
- Potential profit
- $9.64
- User PnL
- -$5.69
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Monte position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.97
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Karmine Corp Blue position
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Eintracht Spandau position
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.52
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.09
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.03
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.55
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.41
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.66
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.33
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
No position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.48
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 32.8% 6.4 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 57% 5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2% 17.05 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?No 91% 25.24 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?No 99.3% 25.14 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?Yes 5.9% 39.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 13.33 shares
- Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 93% 2.76 shares
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No 33% 2.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 90.2% 3.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 90.1% 0.24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 79.3% 3.73 shares