Polymarket Trader

0x39de...22e5

0x39de3b7202191f8ebe59105c671eebba3bc922e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $18.87
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.83
Potential profit: $634.83
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $601.23
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.01
Potential profit: $532.01
User PnL: -$0.86

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471
Potential profit: $471
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $346.55
Potential profit: $345.34
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $310.51
Potential profit: $309.89
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.39
Potential profit: $270.39
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $233.87
Potential profit: $232.7
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $125.02
Potential profit: $124.14
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.7
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $74.19
Potential profit: $72.11
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $67.5
Potential profit: $67.33
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $66.88
Potential profit: $66.61
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $56.29
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $40.98
Potential profit: $40.84
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $37.75
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $35.07
Potential profit: $34.6
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $32.93
Potential profit: $32.63
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $26.9
Potential profit: $26.73
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $22.19
Potential profit: $21.99
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $21.9
Potential profit: $19.82
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 21.9%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $18.26
Potential profit: $14.27
Multiplier: 4.58x
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $17.56
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: $2.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update