No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.31K
- Potential profit
- $8.31K
- User PnL
- -$6.7K
Polymarket Trader
accelarated
0x39dffc499a818e94ce0a7ac6001764b77c45644b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.81
- Realized PnL
- $46.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$92.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$116.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$37.22
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $272.11
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$120.81
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.91
- Potential profit
- $262.91
- User PnL
- -$52.26
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.32
- Potential profit
- $234.32
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.53
- Potential profit
- $210.53
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $8.82
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $201.18
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$10.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.9%
- Current value
- $115.29
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $94.71
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$74.55
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $177.51
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$35.06
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.6
- Potential profit
- $137.6
- User PnL
- -$23.39
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.99
- Potential profit
- $124.99
- User PnL
- -$86.24
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.8
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.74
- Potential profit
- $97.74
- User PnL
- -$74.28
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.71
- Potential profit
- $89.71
- User PnL
- -$30.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.5
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$14.25
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.33
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$21.08
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $65.91
- Potential profit
- $64.46
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$18.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $897.84
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.54
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $703.63
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.82
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.65
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594
Yes position
2025 September second hottest on record?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.13
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.9
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.47
No position
Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.44
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $375.25
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.6
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.75
No position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.61
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $326.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 19% 210.53 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes 29% 75 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 45% 120 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 90.4% 210 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 45% 15 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.2% 2,142.19 shares
- Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?No 71% 27.87 shares
- Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 14.6% 333 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 56% 129.92 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.2% 1,111.11 shares