Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.28
- Potential profit
- $65.28
- User PnL
- -$47
Polymarket Trader
ZegnaWayne
0x39fba9cc310a168fcbc0fe4984b6c02cf2b6f9ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.7
- Realized PnL
- $33.24
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.23
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?Yes 38% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 28?Yes 21% 7.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?Yes 9% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?Yes 24.3% 8.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?Yes 9% 5.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?Yes 23% 4.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?Yes 18.8% 5.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?Yes 27% 4.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?Yes 31% 3.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?Yes 32% 4.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?Yes 18% 8.33 shares