Polymarket Trader

0x39Ff6B2a48A4381C1492C61A2E95e95AeEAFD637-1750752539611

0x39ff6b2a48a4381c1492c61a2e95e95aeeafd637

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $431.53
Realized PnL: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.94
Potential profit: $241.94
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $168.18
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$86.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $94.41
Potential payout: $130.22
Potential profit: $35.81
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$5.59

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $116.11
Potential payout: $128.3
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $16.11

Yes position

Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $126.58
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $34.49
Potential payout: $97.15
Potential profit: $62.66
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$24.77

Yes position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.26
Potential profit: $88.26
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$30

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $47.98
Potential payout: $82.02
Potential profit: $34.04
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $47.35
Potential payout: $75.16
Potential profit: $27.81
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $45.89
Potential payout: $74.02
Potential profit: $28.13
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $41.57
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $11.51
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $50.22
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $1.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.99

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.28

Yes position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.81

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.84

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.23

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.24

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.78

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.73

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.43

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.78

No position

Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.37

Yes position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.8

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

US strikes Yemen by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.49

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.46

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 153.85 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 61.73 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 61.73 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.8% 102.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

No 44% 113.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 58% 86.21 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 73% 136.99 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 46% 138.78 shares
Kash Patel out by June 30?

No 75% 266.67 shares
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 22.7% 88.26 shares
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 36% 83.33 shares