Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Polymarket Trader
shadow54
0x3a087a21afb3c17bbe4b260e1d45dd47829d64a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.92
- Realized PnL
- $6.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $141.36
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.79
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $17.69
- Potential payout
- $131
- Potential profit
- $113.32
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $94.67
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $81
- User PnL
- -$3.97
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $14.41
- Potential payout
- $20.02
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Utah position
Oilers vs. Utah
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $601.87
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.26
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.51
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.43
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.36
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.18
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.21
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.71
No position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.63
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.71
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.46
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?No 71% 20.02 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?No 99.9% 2,999.59 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.8% 423 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.9% 2,111.24 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?Yes 99.9% 393 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 828.77 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 4,000 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 3,000 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?No 98.5% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?No 98.4% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?No 98.6% 500.15 shares