conversionRate101

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.39
Potential profit: $197.39
User PnL: -$74.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.56
Potential profit: $196.56
User PnL: -$16.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.56
Potential profit: $191.56
User PnL: -$55.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.83
Potential profit: $188.83
User PnL: -$25.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.59
Potential profit: $184.59
User PnL: -$21.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.68
Potential profit: $182.68
User PnL: -$46.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.33
Potential profit: $157.33
User PnL: -$55.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.12
Potential profit: $155.12
User PnL: -$57.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.05
Potential profit: $154.05
User PnL: -$17.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.62
Potential profit: $123.62
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.86
Potential profit: $122.86
User PnL: -$31.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.85
Potential profit: $120.85
User PnL: -$36.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.38
Potential profit: $120.38
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.37
Potential profit: $120.37
User PnL: -$55.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.12
Potential profit: $120.12
User PnL: -$37.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $115.49
Potential profit: $102.21
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $45.82
Potential payout: $110.42
Potential profit: $64.59
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $29.16
Potential payout: $110.04
Potential profit: $80.88
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $39.53
Potential payout: $109.82
Potential profit: $70.28
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $11.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $14.18
Potential payout: $109.1
Potential profit: $94.92
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $46.7
Potential payout: $108.6
Potential profit: $61.9
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.24
Potential profit: $100.24
User PnL: -$32.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$42.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 11?