No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$35
Polymarket Trader
Miminion
0x3a237fba30a72dbb7722461d1b8a83ac64d70f72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $55.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $353.8
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.74K
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $57.86
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $41.13
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.88K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$263.13
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $11.85
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$128.8
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $23.39
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $993.63
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$386.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $315
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $685
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $70.01
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $981.24
- Potential profit
- $974.86
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $532.4
- Potential profit
- $524.41
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $527.73
- Potential profit
- $519.29
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.7%
- Current value
- $350.12
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $159.89
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $119.24
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $472.49
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $482.77
- Potential profit
- $472.63
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$157.43
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $16.88
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $433.13
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $77.78
- Potential payout
- $345.68
- Potential profit
- $267.9
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $43.7
- Potential payout
- $336.18
- Potential profit
- $292.48
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$23.46
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.45
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $296.31
- Potential profit
- $289.97
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $232.5
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $220.43
- Potential profit
- $218.01
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $193.8
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $171
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $68.82
- Potential payout
- $176.45
- Potential profit
- $107.63
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $32.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.94K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Small Business Summit?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Over position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Over position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $997.84
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.14
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $910.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 31% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 5% 5.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 3.4% 148.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 4% 625 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 6.8% 366.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 12% 195.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 12.5% 200.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 10% 250 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.7% 1,071.42 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.4% 10,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 76.7% 109.9 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 23.7% 946.39 shares