Polymarket Trader

0x3a3138559555231017438bae95535f9EE5e7e711-1780268837126

0x3a3138559555231017438bae95535f9ee5e7e711

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.59
Realized PnL: $172.34
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.25
Potential profit: $106.25
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $13.84
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.83

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.77
Potential profit: $4.77
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 69% 7.25 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 30% 10 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 45% 11.11 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 72.3% 13.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Down 48% 2.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Down 35% 2.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 20% 3.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Down 25% 5.26 shares