No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $901.03
- Potential profit
- $901.03
- User PnL
- -$302
Polymarket Trader
svelaj
@soozb2006
0x3a36cc2c0b9935e3e51107a46baed16efd52e9cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $199.13
- Realized PnL
- $811.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.67
- Potential profit
- $466.67
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $175.88
- Potential payout
- $213.19
- Potential profit
- $37.31
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$18.12
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.01
- Potential profit
- $124.01
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.18
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $23.25
- Potential payout
- $30.8
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Grizzlies position
Pistons vs. Grizzlies
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.89
- Potential profit
- $7.89
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.07
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.08
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.35
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
No position
Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will Charles Hittler be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No 94% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes 91% 213.19 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?No 98.8% 11.34 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 67.6% 17.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 84% 17.86 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No 65% 20 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes 82% 24.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17.8% 1,283.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 21.9% 274.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 22.8% 1,009.23 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes 62.4% 108.94 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 83.6% 1,680.58 shares