Polymarket Trader

testknow

0x3a3a87070fb30da908f7d6e25c9451814c7eee52

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.65K
Realized PnL: $27.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $20.1K
Potential profit: $17.49K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$2.07K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$609.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$199.5

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $210
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$290

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $508
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $60

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $143.78
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.98

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Solana reach $130 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.95
Potential profit: $999.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $999.93
Potential profit: $967.43
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $84.47
Potential payout: $993.74
Potential profit: $909.27
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $47.19
Potential payout: $799.79
Potential profit: $752.61
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$8.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his North Carolina rally?

Ends Sep 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $997.97

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $988.95

No position

Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.3

Yes position

Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.58

No position

Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $869.99

No position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $821.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during his Georgia speech?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.76

Yes position

North Korea missile test by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730

Yes position

Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Tip" 3 or more times during his Georgia speech?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trans" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Get out and vote" during his Michigan town hall?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?

No 1.3% 1,504.6 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?

Yes 5.5% 360.91 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?

Yes 2.7% 738.57 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 29?

Yes 4.5% 444.44 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 29?

Yes 3.7% 540.54 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?

No 3.2% 625 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?

Yes 3.1% 651.33 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?

Yes 3% 677.13 shares
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?

Yes 97.3% 500 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Down 4% 79.97 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 1AM ET

Up 24% 262.27 shares