No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.82
- Potential profit
- $104.82
- User PnL
- -$103.87
Polymarket Trader
Kanyidao
@kaucn26292416
0x3a3dd520c16251e10809483084480de0d9d19149
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $81.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No 99.3% 134.94 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?No 99.9% 134.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 96.4% 133.82 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 128.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No 98.9% 127.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 126.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No 94.3% 126.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.8% 119.63 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?No 99.7% 117.35 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?No 99.6% 115.46 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?Yes 99.9% 115.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 98.9% 113.27 shares