Polymarket Trader

gabvcx

0x3a469d40b473cdadeba7512f7d50303d8d97d2d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.82
Realized PnL: $122.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.21
Potential profit: $106.21
User PnL: -$92.4

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.72
Potential payout: $24.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.11
Potential payout: $22.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.88
Potential profit: $6.88
User PnL: -$5.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.15

No position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $8.02

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 87% 106.21 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 84.2% 83.2 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 74.5% 83.2 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95.9% 34.72 shares
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 82.1% 24.99 shares
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Yes 92% 25 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Yes 89% 24.72 shares
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?

Yes 95% 22.11 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 74% 22.97 shares
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

No 99.9% 14.11 shares
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 99.2% 24.28 shares
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Yes 20.6% 15.62 shares