Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $294.88
- Potential payout
- $880.22
- Potential profit
- $585.35
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$81.13
Polymarket Trader
SpecterOdds
0x3a4e36fd3e86d0b63720bca069f1ffa04bdc5c16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $621.13
- Realized PnL
- $35.58
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $159.34
- Potential payout
- $159.57
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $9.34
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $12.06
- Potential payout
- $126.98
- Potential profit
- $114.92
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $81.67
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.1%
- Current value
- $46.01
- Potential payout
- $79.26
- Potential profit
- $33.25
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $16.84
- Potential payout
- $73.38
- Potential profit
- $56.54
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.57
- Potential profit
- $65.57
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $65.24
- Potential profit
- $60.35
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- User PnL
- -$19.95
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $51.85
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $48.3
- Potential profit
- $46.63
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $16.33
- Potential profit
- $13.31
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $7.16
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 30.6% 16.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.4% 48.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.9% 126.98 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.7% 65.24 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 59.1% 3.3 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 59.2% 75.96 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 41% 6.07 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 72% 13.89 shares