Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $118.27
- Potential profit
- $115.61
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.09
Polymarket Trader
1bigpapa
0x3a4f9d049c55f716cc1c6862b5473933928289ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.88
- Realized PnL
- $65.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $102.22
- Potential payout
- $104.73
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.57
- Potential profit
- $32.57
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.64
- Potential profit
- $17.64
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.54
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.3
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.07
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.1
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.45
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $11.17
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.21
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Trump say "Insane asylum" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Under position
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 12% 8.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 7.8% 3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 11% 6.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 8.2% 121.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 81.2% 104.73 shares
- T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs IndiaIndia 1.1% 6.86 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 11 shares
- T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs IndiaIndia 75% 6.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 14.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 6.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 6.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 14.17 shares