Polymarket Trader

Fglb

0x3a665a02c2dfae72055307aee4ea77030d868c0c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $251.99
Realized PnL: $636.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $976.19
Potential profit: $976.19
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.63
Potential profit: $420.63
User PnL: -$60

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $102.76
Potential payout: $241.78
Potential profit: $139.02
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $98
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $35.33
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.69
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.69

No position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $81.06
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$20

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.16
Potential profit: $27.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $11.78
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$8.57

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $125.83

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.56

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.15

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.15

No position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.12

No position

Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.91

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.81

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.13

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.42

Casper Ruud position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 101.01 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 90% 111.11 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 71.1% 28.15 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 74% 13.51 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 46% 217.39 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 133.33 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 83% 13.33 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 75% 13.33 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 41% 24.39 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 4% 93.19 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares