Polymarket Trader

Bogr

0x3a68fbef51e9e06747fd94db2bc6f7dabf3a835a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.92K
Realized PnL: $24.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $17.69K
Potential payout: $208.17K
Potential profit: $190.47K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.18K

No position

Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.31K
Potential profit: $43.31K
User PnL: -$115.73

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $224.9
Potential payout: $34.6K
Potential profit: $34.37K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$151.48

Yes position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$9.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$8.74

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$11.14

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Yoon arrested by Friday?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826.01
Potential profit: $826.01
User PnL: -$5.56

Yes position

Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755.8
Potential profit: $755.8
User PnL: -$6.56

No position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $643.7
Potential profit: $643.7
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.26
Potential profit: $544.26
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Crimean bridge hit before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.4
Potential profit: $372.4
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.94
Potential profit: $239.94
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?

Ends Jan 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.49
Potential profit: $183.49
User PnL: -$17.38

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.61
Potential profit: $174.61
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$7.67

No position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.24
Potential profit: $102.24
User PnL: -$9.2

No position

Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.03
Potential profit: $60.03
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.03
Potential profit: $60.03
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Trump go on SNL before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.02
Potential profit: $47.02
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.97
Potential profit: $9.97
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 1,750 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 91,755.56 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 27,266.67 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 52,000 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 23,144.99 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 14,000 shares
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?

Yes 0.7% 239.94 shares
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes 1% 1,113.6 shares
Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?

Yes 2% 395.86 shares
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?

No 0.1% 2,494.5 shares
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?

No 0.1% 24,101.64 shares
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares