Polymarket Trader

jazz-lumber

0x3a9c442e9d3efa91adb174bd6b3df4d9f101f335

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.29
Realized PnL: $550.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $859.52
Potential profit: $859.52
User PnL: -$47.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 11AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.72
Potential profit: $423.72
User PnL: -$27.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.77
Potential profit: $420.77
User PnL: -$38.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.36
Potential profit: $354.36
User PnL: -$33.13

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$8.47

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $21.99
Potential payout: $173.12
Potential profit: $151.14
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.98
Potential profit: $169.98
User PnL: -$5.1

Altmaier position

Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.99
Potential profit: $161.99
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $122.17
Potential profit: $118.87
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$5.76

Yes position

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.69
Potential profit: $118.69
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.92
Potential profit: $117.92
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.65
Potential profit: $100.65
User PnL: -$5

Musetti position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.75
Potential profit: $94.75
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.93
Potential profit: $93.93
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "PhD" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.57
Potential profit: $78.57
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.47
Potential profit: $75.47
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$7.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Biden statement on Mystery Drones by Friday?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.21

Riedi position

US Open: Leandro Riedi vs Francisco Cerundolo

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.75

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.99

Yes position

Will Bryson complete the Hole in 1 Challenge by Friday?

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.94

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.92

Yes position

Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.22

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 50m-75m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.8

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

30m Bluesky users in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Yoon reinstated as President before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 5+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

No position

Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.46

No position

Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 11AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Up 11.5% 43.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Up 35% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 69% 27.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 10% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 16% 31.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 19% 26.32 shares