Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
NemoSun
0x3a9dcce0f9362d5f5f53b84ce930c52969edca62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.1
- Realized PnL
- $149.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $100.84
- Potential payout
- $157.57
- Potential profit
- $56.72
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $37.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $62.4
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $41.95
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $45.01
- Potential profit
- $38.71
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$10.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.07
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.31
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.93
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $7.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 62% 80.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96% 83.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 48.78 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.1% 291.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.3% 434.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 65% 76.92 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 33% 3.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.3% 434.78 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.4% 291.76 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 40 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 20.5% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.3% 300 shares