Polymarket Trader

geoplayer

0x3aa3fbb4e16d25d6be82bf026f4ebd7132fd6977

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.13
Realized PnL: $60.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $804.94
Potential profit: $804.94
User PnL: -$76.94

Yes position

Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215
Potential profit: $215
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.02
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Tesla reach $495 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.65

No position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Coinbase say "Custodial" or "Custody" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $525 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.59
Potential profit: $3.59
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55
Potential profit: $1.55
User PnL: -$0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.51

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Over 3.5 position

Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

Over position

Musetti vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,800-$6,900 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Player 174 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the US strike Cuba next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Don’t Be Dumb by A$AP Rocky be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Player 91 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.50 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

No 43% 5 shares
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 1.7% 5 shares
Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?

Yes 3.1% 0.15 shares
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 0.7% 5 shares
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

No 84% 34.89 shares
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 0.6% 5 shares
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?

Yes 99.8% 5 shares
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Yes 3.2% 93 shares
Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

Yes 5.2% 89.03 shares
Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

Yes 17.9% 30 shares