Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$35
Polymarket Trader
Lsc8899
0x3ab0b0b2b6666397c706beb8f4ce820e297ca9c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $442.77
- Realized PnL
- $863.09
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $706.79
- Potential profit
- $706.79
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $59.53
- Potential payout
- $517.65
- Potential profit
- $458.12
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$98.47
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.39
- Potential profit
- $343.39
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.71
- Potential profit
- $268.71
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $266.63
- Potential payout
- $267.57
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $175.23
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $26.31
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $211.79
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.5
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.55
- Potential profit
- $154.55
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.55
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
No position
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $17.8
- Potential payout
- $94.41
- Potential profit
- $76.61
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.33
- Potential profit
- $93.33
- User PnL
- -$11.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $56.91
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $31.32
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $26.91
No position
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.29
- Potential profit
- $84.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.65
- Potential profit
- $74.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $66.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.32
- Potential profit
- $52.32
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.41
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.71
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.68
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.01
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $9.97
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$69.92
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 82.1% 267.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 34% 88.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No 42% 71.43 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 21.2% 94.41 shares
- Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 5.6% 178.57 shares
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?No 20% 100 shares
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 26.8% 74.65 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 1.9% 512.82 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30.5% 517.65 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 5.8% 343.39 shares
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 13.8% 320.4 shares
- Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?No 7.1% 706.79 shares