Erick666

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $667.27
Potential profit: $660.27
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$51.71

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $142.57
Potential payout: $610.59
Potential profit: $468.02
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$89.63

Yes position

Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $68.84
Potential payout: $422.33
Potential profit: $353.49
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: -$39.94

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $157.1
Potential payout: $173.59
Potential profit: $16.49
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $102.02

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.62
Potential profit: $169.62
User PnL: -$36.64

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $155.92
Potential payout: $168.57
Potential profit: $12.64
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $97.55

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $155.84
Potential payout: $158.05
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $94.49

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $142.39
Potential profit: $133.06
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $97.96
Potential payout: $118.02
Potential profit: $20.06
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5.45

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $111.66
Potential profit: $108.03
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$6.34

No position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.78
Potential profit: $94.78
User PnL: -$57.71

Yes position

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

Implied probability: 24.2%
Current value: $21.52
Potential payout: $88.92
Potential profit: $67.4
Multiplier: 4.13x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 29.3%
Current value: $23.72
Potential payout: $81.1
Potential profit: $57.38
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: -$1.62

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $45.36
Potential payout: $74.97
Potential profit: $29.61
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $16.12

Yes position

Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $70.49
Potential profit: $66.23
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will FK Zenit win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.52

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.05

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $231.56

Yes position

Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.41

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.81

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.7

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.09

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.95

FK Zenit position

Spread: FK Zenit (-1.5)

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.72

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.23

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $24.71

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.55

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $14.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.19

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $3.8

Fire Flux Esports position

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET