Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $410
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Polymarket Trader
Daniel32son
0x3ad28abb65d1136494b442019cb07acdcdea1272
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $157.49
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$155.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.75
- Potential profit
- $59.75
- User PnL
- -$25.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$29.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.41
- Potential profit
- $49.41
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.69
- Potential profit
- $39.69
- User PnL
- -$18.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.85
- Potential profit
- $19.85
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $26.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be greater than 2,400,000?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 24?No 99.9% 8.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 23?No 99.8% 9.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on June 23?No 99.9% 9.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 22?No 99.8% 8.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?No 99.9% 6.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 22?No 99.9% 7.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?No 99.8% 8.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 19?No 99.9% 9.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 18?No 99.8% 7.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 18?No 99.9% 8.11 shares