Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
cesarious1
0x3b4096804e85fa5ee5eb5957ff3d54683b286174
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.31
- Realized PnL
- $678.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Jordan to score first vs. Austria?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.36
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.44
- Potential profit
- $119.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $21.37
- Potential profit
- $18.96
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $20.62
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.02
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.53
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.27
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.56
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: United States (-2.5)United States 14% 14.29 shares
- Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 11.7% 8.55 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 43% 2.33 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes 24% 8.33 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 43% 2.33 shares
- Spread: United States (-3.5)United States 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States 29% 6.9 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?Yes 3.4% 29.41 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 20.9% 9.57 shares
- Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 11.7% 12.82 shares