Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $8.19K
- Potential profit
- $8.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.29
Polymarket Trader
0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f
0x3b4484b6c8cbfdaa383ba337ab3f0d71055e264e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.03K
- Realized PnL
- $173.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- User PnL
- -$32.06
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.62K
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.78K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$30.82
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $264.55
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $128.07
No position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- User PnL
- $350.01
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$4.42
No position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $164.73
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$10.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$15.81
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $651.13
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $200.14
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Y
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $433.78
- Potential payout
- $913.22
- Potential profit
- $479.44
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $340.34
No position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $316.15
- Potential payout
- $316.94
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- User PnL
- $140.9
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.44
- Potential profit
- $276.44
- User PnL
- -$28.01
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $238
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Yes position
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.46
- Potential profit
- $209.46
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.17
- Potential profit
- $176.17
- User PnL
- -$15.86
Yes position
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $14.07
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $119.93
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.03
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $32.63
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $12.38
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $23.58
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $44.62
- Potential profit
- $43.82
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $32.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.16K
No position
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.56K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.01K
No position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 4?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 31.4% 600 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 12% 432.89 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 15.3% 10 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 88.5% 5,488.53 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 53% 307.8 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 19% 200 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 35.4% 307.8 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 33% 405.76 shares
- Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?Yes 91% 30 shares
- Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?Yes 87.7% 402.5 shares
- Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No 87.5% 1,306.22 shares
- Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No 79.3% 950.09 shares