Polymarket Trader

0x3b45e422aeA59506b8373cC0c46BDF19E9a73CBE-1768272608399

0x3b45e422aea59506b8373cc0c46bdf19e9a73cbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.03
Realized PnL: $677.34
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.58
Potential profit: $371.58
User PnL: -$34.94

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $19.03
Potential payout: $82.73
Potential profit: $63.7
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.85
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.9

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 9PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.97

No position

Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.41

No position

Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.59

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 24.2% 82.73 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 52% 28.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 18% 13.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 38% 13.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Down 99% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Down 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 9.4% 371.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 91% 25.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Down 45.7% 25.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 59% 10.02 shares
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

No 0.5% 17,639.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Up 22% 99.05 shares