Polymarket Trader

simosena1

0x3b466ccfd5c86973a0ae37ce6e55a2158dd0fd16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.76
Realized PnL: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 49m and 53m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $983.89
Potential profit: $983.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 49m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.77
Potential profit: $899.77
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $54.89
Potential payout: $851.06
Potential profit: $796.17
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$25.11

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.78
Potential profit: $577.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $328.85
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$31.85

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $29.38
Potential payout: $268.27
Potential profit: $238.89
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.05
Potential profit: $252.05
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.5
Potential profit: $250.5
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.22
Potential profit: $231.22
User PnL: -$30

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$20

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.48
Potential profit: $181.48
User PnL: -$90

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.76
Potential profit: $161.76
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$81.2

Yes position

Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.71
Potential profit: $141.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$47.6

Athletics position

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.25
Potential profit: $137.25
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$39.67

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.89
Potential profit: $130.89
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Tom Nolan position

UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.29

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.5

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.19

Arizona Diamondbacks position

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.29

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Rebels Gaming position

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.37

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.52

Philadelphia Phillies position

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.05

Under position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Roman Kopylov position

UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.17

Cavaliers position

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.61

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.43

Stars position

Stars vs. Wild

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.16

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.57

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Rangers

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.93

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.91

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.4

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.27

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-12.5)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.47

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.88

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.35

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

B8 56% 70 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Alliance 40% 80 shares
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Team Nemesis 44% 70 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 53% 60 shares
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies 51% 170 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rebels Gaming 99.9% 130 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Falcons Esport 54% 8.69 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rebels Gaming 35% 130 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 214.29 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 58.8% 68.03 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 50% 80 shares
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B

Betclic Apogee Esports 60% 66.67 shares