No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $686.25
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $63.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $86.25
Polymarket Trader
h2l
0x3b4ad03367e884246197d5413a1011ee5e905db3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $967.86
- Realized PnL
- $153.01
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $281.61
- Potential payout
- $288.1
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $31.61
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $44.78
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.46
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.52
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.44
Yes position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.59
N
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 900M in Q1?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?No 87.6% 171.28 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?No 85.6% 116.82 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 64.4% 100 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 54% 57.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 16.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 81% 246.91 shares
- James Comey arrested by May 15?Yes 85% 70.59 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 82.9% 120.6 shares
- Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 900M in Q1?No 66.7% 16.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.3% 186.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 750 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 6.7% 44.78 shares