No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$100.35
Polymarket Trader
splash886
0x3b621466d298a1754d827ef3da24dd8a0ba2728a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $17.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $757.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $42.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $304.84
- Potential payout
- $304.99
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $4.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Under position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.24
Over position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Cavaliers position
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.73
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.94
Under position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.4
Under position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.71
Over position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.2
Under position
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Under position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.92
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.2
76ers position
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468
Lakers position
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.8
Timberwolves position
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.03
Under position
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.5
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.56
Rockets position
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.6
Under position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.16
Spurs position
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.16
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.15
76ers position
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces 32.5% 100 shares
- Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 304.99 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 99.99 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs 52% 800 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs 52% 100 shares
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs 52% 600 shares
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Cavaliers 50% 800 shares
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers 52% 770 shares
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder 57% 700 shares
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons 53% 755 shares
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over 54% 740 shares
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Under 50% 370 shares