No position
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0x3b63B93f6f40DF92ad80E9cf35B3BABC0EBf2c81-1769612025606
0x3b63b93f6f40df92ad80e9cf35b3babc0ebf2c81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.48
- Realized PnL
- -$41.23
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$139.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 29% 11.05 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 20% 11.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 62% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp 39% 19.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp 38.8% 19.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown 57% 134.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown 42.4% 134.43 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
- Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?No 0.3% 1,478.27 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 24% 208.33 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 35% 200 shares