No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $11.3K
- Potential payout
- $27.22K
- Potential profit
- $15.93K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Polymarket Trader
Mr.Eggplant
@askepticalduck
0x3b69beea35d20e687db2f7752c5dde36d1d90cde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.16K
- Realized PnL
- $43.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $15.76K
- Potential payout
- $26.95K
- Potential profit
- $11.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$93.4
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $700
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $464.68
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $342.9
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $51.59
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$421.65
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $251.25
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$57.41
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$176.48
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $559.65
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $805.35
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $63.88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $58.33
No position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$667.95
Yes position
Will Zuriel Oduwole win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$6.47
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $423.15
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $596.49
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.29
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $907.7
- Potential profit
- $907.25
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$75.47
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888
- Potential profit
- $888
- User PnL
- -$14.21
Yes position
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $810
- Potential profit
- $810
- User PnL
- -$170.1
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $798.57
- Potential profit
- $798.57
- User PnL
- -$633.58
No position
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $777
- Potential profit
- $777
- User PnL
- -$461.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $777
- Potential profit
- $777
- User PnL
- -$101.01
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $776.99
- Potential profit
- $776.99
- User PnL
- -$269.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 2,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 411.75 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 43% 186.64 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.5% 576.48 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.2% 411.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 8% 1,111 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.4% 516.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 16% 333 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 23% 37.23 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.6% 128.08 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 1.7% 54.75 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 1.3% 4,444 shares