Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.04
- Potential profit
- $70.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
sdfjkshufkkshfk
0x3b72fe568a9ef910c43e21d440bcbcfae7cbec52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.56
- Realized PnL
- $116.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the match end in a draw?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.71
- Potential profit
- $34.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $31.35
- Potential profit
- $23.36
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $22.11
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $22.36
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $15.9
- Potential profit
- $12.41
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Misa Esports position
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $14.38
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $15.22
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $14.75
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $3.31
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $9.19
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.8%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $11.31
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.1%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $10.58
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Entropy position
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Jacob Fearnley position
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Walton
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Filippo Romano position
Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
HOTU position
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Imperial position
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
M80 position
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 4 Winner
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will CR Brasil vs. Goiás EC end in a draw?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
San Francisco Giants position
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Miomir Kecmanovic position
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
GenOne position
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group D
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Brute position
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
GenOne position
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Martin Krumich position
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Julia Grabher position
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown 60% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?No 69% 7.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?No 81.8% 6.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?No 70% 4.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?No 94.5% 10.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?No 80% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?Yes 44.2% 11.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?No 74.8% 6.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?No 80.1% 6.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?No 90% 5.56 shares