Polymarket Trader

Brokedegend

@Winstrench

0x3b7453a136ced6097553907743a403b86b846407

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $283.88
Realized PnL: $621.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $203.43
Potential payout: $267.68
Potential profit: $64.24
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$11.48

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $27.14
Potential payout: $216.25
Potential profit: $189.11
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $27.94
Potential payout: $141.46
Potential profit: $113.52
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.65
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $34.81
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $21.72
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $9.53
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.96

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.81

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.93

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.71

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.57

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.02

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $23.84

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.78

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.62

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $19.47

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $10.19

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.17

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 31.25 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 71% 88 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 80.3% 355.67 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 250 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 25% 71.42 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 55% 35.08 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 60% 32.25 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 35% 55.56 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 71% 31.25 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 208.25 shares