Polymarket Trader

Luckgoblin3

0x3b7b2b42571e066e8e6260e8a30cbd7c0843265e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.68K
Realized PnL: $3.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 68.3%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $664.76
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $167.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $832.49
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $87.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $262.65
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$8.85

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $291.45
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.91

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.55

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.7

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.76

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.78

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.74

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 1,000 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 3,000 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 59,700 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 93.9% 20 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 60,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Yes 62% 100 shares
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 4.7% 2,329.91 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 298.18 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.3% 3,700 shares
Iran leadership change by March 31?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.4% 4,000 shares