No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $12.15
- Potential payout
- $12.28
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
dafa11
@KellySmith8339
0x3b871d4fca7eaa482367646d994623235000d3f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.07
- Realized PnL
- $26.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $11.3
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $8.24
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.22
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.47
- Potential profit
- $5.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Vance say "Ass" during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 64% 4.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 98.1% 10.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 97.7% 12.28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 88.5% 11.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 93% 12.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 97.3% 11.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 93.7% 10.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 96.7% 10.34 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 97.4% 10.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 75% 10.67 shares