Polymarket Trader

yaxian

0x3b8a63f57de79ae3a1615addf3ccf29ec4f69462

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $883.04
Realized PnL: $69.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $883.04
Potential payout: $898.77
Potential profit: $15.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$14.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 190.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 99.8% 733.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 99.9% 921.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 910.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 99.9% 908.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 99.7% 906.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99% 897.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 99.9% 894.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

No 99.8% 888.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 99.9% 879.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 99.9% 878.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

No 99.9% 872.1 shares