SonofWeather

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$6.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.26
Potential profit: $433.26
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390.9
Potential profit: $390.9
User PnL: -$198.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $359.73
Potential payout: $387.85
Potential profit: $28.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$12.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.34
Potential profit: $349.34
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.17
Potential profit: $318.17
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.13
Potential profit: $312.13
User PnL: -$61.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $252.56
Potential payout: $274.52
Potential profit: $21.96
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.19
Potential profit: $274.19
User PnL: -$262.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $272.9
Potential payout: $273.03
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $14.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.18
Potential profit: $271.18
User PnL: -$8.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $261.22
Potential payout: $264.53
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $262.77
Potential payout: $262.9
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $261.57
Potential payout: $261.7
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.31
Potential profit: $261.31
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on March 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.81
Potential profit: $238.81
User PnL: -$7.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.79
Potential profit: $232.79
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.61
Potential profit: $231.61
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.54
Potential profit: $224.54
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.25
Potential profit: $204.25
User PnL: -$197.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.8
Potential profit: $195.8
User PnL: -$9.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.81
Potential profit: $192.81
User PnL: -$10.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $188.23
Potential payout: $188.52
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.64
Potential profit: $183.64
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.5
Potential profit: $175.5
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.15
Potential profit: $167.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.07
Potential profit: $163.07
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.45
Potential profit: $159.45
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.39
Potential profit: $159.39
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.55
Potential profit: $158.55
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.15
Potential profit: $156.15
User PnL: -$2.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $153.6
Potential payout: $155.94
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.71
Potential profit: $155.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on April 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.17
Potential profit: $155.17
User PnL: -$3.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.5
Potential profit: $153.5
User PnL: -$149.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.79
Potential profit: $152.79
User PnL: -$4.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $151.69
Potential payout: $151.77
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.98
Potential profit: $147.98
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.12
Potential profit: $147.12
User PnL: -$21.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.04
Potential profit: $140.04
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.66
Potential profit: $138.66
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.64
Potential profit: $138.64
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.02
Potential profit: $138.02
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.81
Potential profit: $136.81
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.59
Potential profit: $134.59
User PnL: -$6.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.39
Potential profit: $132.39
User PnL: -$6.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.74
Potential profit: $131.74
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.88
Potential profit: $130.88
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.48
Potential profit: $128.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.25
Potential profit: $126.25
User PnL: -$12.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on April 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on March 29?