Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Current value
- $83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $250.33
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- -$38.12
Polymarket Trader
idkboutthatone
0x3b96a5f1811cf9be3f8c201ee4bf259ccb706226
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.52
- Realized PnL
- $53.18
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $153.47
- Potential profit
- $146.94
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.52
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.36
N
No position
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes 4.3% 153.47 shares
- US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes 11% 55.76 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 38.2% 160.41 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 38.1% 12.86 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 34.3% 160.06 shares
- US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes 15.2% 55.76 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes 49.9% 10 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Yes 94.4% 6.32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 3.9% 151.84 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 4.9% 151.84 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?Yes 17.1% 30.73 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 53% 4.08 shares