Polymarket Trader

Kubson

0x3ba8f29c7a6052dd03b4cd5e63209e6b8d02697e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $90.78
Realized PnL: $4.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.92
Potential profit: $252.92
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.57
Potential profit: $198.57
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.9
Potential profit: $191.9
User PnL: -$51.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.1
Potential profit: $172.1
User PnL: -$6.11

Slovakia position

World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $100.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $58.59
Potential payout: $100.15
Potential profit: $41.56
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $9.28

Diego Dedura-Palomero position

Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Diego Dedura-Palomero

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.5
Potential profit: $87.5
User PnL: -$43.75

Under position

SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$33.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$18

Under position

FC Barcelona vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 1.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.14
Potential profit: $65.14
User PnL: -$17.92

Edas Butvilas position

Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilas

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.73
Potential profit: $60.73
User PnL: -$35

Slovakia position

World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Beatriz Haddad Maia position

Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Shuai Zhang

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.66
Potential profit: $40.66
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.97
Potential profit: $38.97
User PnL: -$23.38

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $31.94
Potential payout: $38.71
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.94

Henrique Rocha position

Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.85
Potential profit: $37.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$7

Hubert Hurkacz position

Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.32

Slovakia position

Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.47

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.71

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.11

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.27

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.36

Slovakia position

Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.53

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.01

Yes position

Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9AM ET

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.77

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.29

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7AM ET

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.98

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8AM ET

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.69

Timofey Skatov position

Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Timofey Skatov

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.85

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 62% 38.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 1% 101 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 35.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 49.2% 100.15 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?

Yes 99% 51.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 73% 35.36 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?

Yes 19.5% 51.29 shares
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch

Henrique Rocha 64% 15.63 shares
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch

Henrique Rocha 45% 22.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 32% 21.88 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 99.9% 12.5 shares