Yes position
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $22.64
- Potential payout
- $238.35
- Potential profit
- $215.71
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Polymarket Trader
peakyman
@peakymantwit
0x3bbc51fe317aba3ffa7fec98f917b648d466a2b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.88
- Realized PnL
- $91.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $230.74
- Potential profit
- $220.36
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $223.01
- Potential profit
- $217.35
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Yes position
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $189.01
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $131.26
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $122.69
- Potential profit
- $113.49
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $119.3
- Potential profit
- $109.16
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $94.51
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $92.92
- Potential profit
- $85.96
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $85.05
- Potential profit
- $81.22
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $58.15
- Potential profit
- $53.79
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $55.33
- Potential profit
- $51.73
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $52.95
- Potential profit
- $44.48
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $51.11
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.75
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83
Yes position
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Will Jean Silva be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $10.79
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
Yes position
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 2.3% 252.84 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 17% 52.94 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 16% 49.98 shares
- Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 5% 38.58 shares
- Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 12% 50 shares
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 14% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 12% 150 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 15% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 16% 99.98 shares