Polymarket Trader

mpilb

0x3bc4b91dfae6dec5358776cc0fc7dae7db6f41e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $348.97
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.86K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $213.97
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.78K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $43.99

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $3.01K
User PnL: -$2.32K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$420

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$410

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$118

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.28

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.4%
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: $319.34

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.25

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.66

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $103.83

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$94.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.5% 2,936.17 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.8% 823.99 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.8% 1,432 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.8% 1,325 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?

Yes 80% 77.5 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 75.6% 1,010 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

No 84% 200 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.7% 100 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4% 99.99 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 95% 2,594 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 90.1% 222.08 shares