Polymarket Trader

slothtastic

0x3bc4c9c1fee21b7fb06ad461bfd68e58c3082d14

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.18K
Realized PnL: $3.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.47K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $268.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $28.8

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $184.53
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $11.47
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $97.43
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $90.51
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $98.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $32

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $96.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $97.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.45

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $97.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $95.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.9

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $97.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $97.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $98.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $17

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $94.49
Potential payout: $99.62
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $18.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.76

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.79

No position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $375.12

Yes position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.25

No position

U.S. recession before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.71

No position

Megaquake in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.07

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.2

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.46

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.94

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.88

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.15

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.18

No position

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.57

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.44

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.28

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.95

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.8

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.55

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 99.5% 68.39 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 100 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 73% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 97.4% 42.7 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 77% 25 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 94% 99.62 shares
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 96.9% 100 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 50 shares