Polymarket Trader

skond

0x3bc4ee038c22c3283fc565ab8cdcac731877867d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.58
Realized PnL: -$3.62
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $10.28
Potential payout: $316.2
Potential profit: $305.92
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.77
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $31.46
Potential payout: $73.17
Potential profit: $41.71
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $65.79
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $62.26
Potential profit: $58.22
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$28.95

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.58
Potential profit: $47.58
User PnL: -$18.47

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.34
Potential profit: $44.34
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.62
Potential profit: $34.62
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $25.63
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.8%
Current value: $15.99
Potential payout: $25.47
Potential profit: $9.47
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.33
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.37

No position

Blast airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Yes 3.2% 316.2 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Yes 58.9% 25.47 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 41% 73.17 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 53% 44.34 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 65.79 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 53% 62.26 shares
Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?

Yes 10.1% 59.9 shares
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Yes 1.2% 44.46 shares
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 42% 4.76 shares
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Yes 30% 6.67 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 35% 8.57 shares