Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
lolkiil
0x3bc6a1d71b6d88628d7e5064a3ba4e3cd320cba3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $248.41
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $130.77
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $253.85
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $80.77
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $117.64
- Potential payout
- $188.23
- Potential profit
- $70.58
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $17.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?No 53.1% 188.23 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 13% 384.62 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 99% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes 15% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Yes 8% 500 shares
- Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No 89.9% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 93% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 93% 8 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No 12% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 200 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 87.2% 200 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No 13% 100 shares