Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Cooler364
0x3bce61833b8bbf883093c56a8b48694c54b0debc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98
- Realized PnL
- -$10.78
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $59.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $340.59
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $38.3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $14.35
- Potential payout
- $289.86
- Potential profit
- $275.51
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
Yes position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.3
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.97
- Potential profit
- $49.97
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.71
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.79
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 2.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 61% 8.2 shares
- Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 64% 16.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 8% 30 shares
- Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 93% 40 shares
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 20 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 20 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.9% 289.86 shares
- Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 87% 40 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 3.8% 100 shares