No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $172.66
- Potential payout
- $341.9
- Potential profit
- $169.24
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$36.19
Polymarket Trader
0x3BCE6fd8884877491F1c52BCB6Fc9E653525A954-1781638382218
0x3bce6fd8884877491f1c52bcb6fc9e653525a954
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.74
- Realized PnL
- -$16.86
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $34.38
- Potential profit
- $26.3
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$4.56
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 61.1% 341.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 32% 3.57 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?Yes 2.4% 26.21 shares
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes 4.6% 21.27 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 83.3% 2.27 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 22% 36.36 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 31% 31.25 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?No 61% 74.48 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No 46.6% 103.98 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55.4% 177.58 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No 53% 103.98 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?No 67.4% 74.49 shares